Nader in Race Benefits . . . Obama

Nader "Voters" Prefer McCain To Obama
Jul 23, 2008
by Chris Bowers

It is interesting, though probably easily explained, that people who say they are supporting Ralph Nader in public opinion surveys overwhelmingly prefer John McCain to Barack Obama. Looking through the entire history of polls that ask both a two-person Obama vs. McCain trial heat, and also a four-way trial heat with Ralph Nader and Bob Barr, McCain is clearly hurt by the presence of both candidates in the campaign:

Comparing Two-Way and Four-Way National Polls

Poll Date Two-Way Margin Four-Way Margin Difference
NBC / WSJ Jul 21 Obama +6 Obama +12 Obama +6
ABC / WaPo Jul 13 Obama +3 Obama +10 Obama +7
Zogby Jul 13 Obama +7 Obama +10 Obama +3
CNN Jun 29 Obama +5 Obama +3 McCain +2
LA Times Jun 23 Obama +12 Obama +15 Obama +3
Fox Jun 18 Obama +4 Obama +3 McCain +1
Zogby Jun 14 Obama +5 Obama +5 No Change
CNN Jun 05 Obama +3 Obama +4 Obama +1
Zogby May 15 Obama +8 Obama +10 Obama +2
Rasmussen May 15 McCain +1 Obama +4 Obama +5
Zogby Apr 12 Even Obama +2 Obama +2
Average Obama +2.4


As I explain in the extended entry, this chart is could contain a key to winning the election.

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